Read Time: 7 minutes

Is nuclear waste safe underground?

Researchers calculated that nuclear waste could be safely sealed away for more than 350 million years in geological repositories deep underground.


shadow
Image Credit: Photo by Dan Meyers on Unsplash

More than 90,000 tons of radioactive waste are stored on-site at nuclear power plants awaiting permanent disposal. Nuclear waste releases unstable forms of uranium and other elements, called radionuclides. Long-term exposure to radionuclides can cause cancer, so environmental safety regulations require that nuclear waste be made inaccessible for at least 1 million years. Thus, researchers are evaluating possible ways to store this waste permanently. 

One proposal is to store nuclear waste thousands of feet below ground in rock formations called deep geological repositories, or DGRs, to seal in radionuclides. Scientists can’t see into the future, so instead they look to the past to determine how well DRGs could work. A team of researchers from Canada recently analyzed uranium deposits that have existed for billions of years as an analog for how nuclear waste behaves deep underground.

Past researchers found that uranium deposits in ideal DGR conditions, with their protective casings intact, will stay contained for more than a billion years. However, these conditions require a stable geological environment. This team instead focused on uranium deposits in non-ideal conditions. They studied the Canadian Kiggavik uranium deposits, which occur in cracked bedrock approximately 500 meters (1,600 feet) below the surface. The team claimed these conditions are similar to DRGs with broken protective casings.

The team knew from previous work that most of the uranium minerals in the Kiggavik deposits are more than 274 million years old, but about 10% are less than 1 million years old. They found that these younger uranium minerals occurred alongside clay minerals surrounding the older uranium minerals and within open fractures. The researchers interpreted the older uranium as the source material of the younger uranium because of their proximity. They concluded that water must have infiltrated the deposits and interacted with older minerals, transporting uranium and forming new, younger minerals.

To determine the source of water infiltration, the researchers compared the chemistry of clay minerals formed alongside the younger uranium with modern snow in the Kiggavik region. They looked at the number of neutrons, or isotopes, in hydrogen atoms within the clay minerals, and found heavy values matching those of fresh water. These values indicated that snow or glacial meltwater was the source, rather than underlying bedrock or seawater. 

To determine when the water infiltrated over the last million years, the researchers used uranium-thorium dating to find when the radionuclides were mobilized. This dating method shows when uranium was removed from the original minerals by measuring how much its concentration was reduced by water infiltration. They found that the dates of these radionuclide mobilizations clustered into 5 separate water-infiltration events that occurred from 36 to 470 thousand years ago. 

Comparing these dates with existing climate records, the researchers found that the water infiltration events overlapped with periods when glaciers covered the ground surface. Normally, water can’t travel thousands of feet underground. But, like a hydraulic press, a glacier pushes water at its base downward. If the water encountered cracks in the ground, the pressure could inject it to the depth of the uranium deposit.

Next, the researchers wanted to measure how quickly radionuclides left the deposit. They measured the maximum distance between younger and older uranium minerals and used the age of the most recent water-infiltration event to estimate the fastest speed at which the radionuclides could have moved. They determined this maximum speed to be 0.0014 millimeters (0.000055 inches) per year. At that rate, they calculated it would take 360 million years for uranium radionuclides to travel 500 meters from a DGR at the same depth as the Kiggavik uranium deposits to the surface. This timescale far exceeds the necessary 1 million years for nuclear waste containment.

The team concluded that if glaciers were to return to Kiggavik, the uranium deposits wouldn’t experience substantial radionuclide movement, even in contact with glacial meltwater. Similarly, if a DGR has broken protective casings, radionuclides would be moving too slowly to reach the surface even if water leaked into it. They suggested their findings reduce constraints on viable DGR sites and could help ensure the long-term secure storage of nuclear waste.

Study Information

Original study: Glaciation-induced radionuclide release: Implications for geological disposal of nuclear waste

Study was published on: May 15, 2025

Study author(s): Ian Burron, Mostafa Fayek, Julie Brown

The study was done at: University of Manitoba (Canada), Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (Canada)

The study was funded by: Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Alliance grant

Raw data availability: In supplementary info

Featured image credit: Photo by Dan Meyers on Unsplash

This summary was edited by: Ben Pauley